PMBOK
PMBOK Guide - 7th edition
116 - 2.8 Uncertainty Domain
Glossary
- Uncertainty
- Ambiguity
- Complexity
- Volatility
- Risk
Uncertainty in the broadest sense is a state of not knowing or unpredictability:
- Risk associated with not knowing future events
- Ambiguity associated with not being aware of current or future conditions
- Complexity associated with dynamic systems having unpredictable outcomes
2.8.1 - Responding to uncertainty
- Gather Information
- Prepare for multiple outcomes
- Set-based design: Many possible design to see many possible outcomes
- Build in resilience
2.8.2 - Ambiguity
Solutions for exploration of ambiguity:
- Progressive elaboration - iterative process of increasing the level of detail
- Experiments
- Prototypes
2.8.3 - Complexity
Tackling Complexity:
- System Based
- Decoupling - for example Microservices
- Simulation
- Reframing - changing the perspective
- Diversity - Inviting people from out of the box
- Balance
- Process-Based
- Iterate
- Engage
- Fail Safe
2.8.4 - Volatility
Tackling Volatility:
- Alternative Analysis
- Reserve - for example for price volatility
2.8.5 - Risk
Threat profile is a nice way to visiualize threats and change to them
- Threats
- Avoid
- Escalate
- Transfer - to 3rd party
- Mitigate - reduce probability
- Accept
- Opportunities
- Exploit
- Escalate
- Share
- Enhance
- Accept
2.8.6 Interaction with other performance domains
- Risk interacts with:
- Planning
- Project Work
- Delivery
- Measurement
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